Diseases A-Z List

TB Vaccine Receives Funding For Large Phase 3 Trial

At the peak of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant wave in Ontario, Canada, wastewater sampling conducted before the surge suggested that COVID-19 cases were 19 times higher than reported because of changes in clinical testing, according to a study published yesterday in Emerging Infectious Diseases.

Researchers at the Regional Municipality of Peel, Ontario, led the study, which involved determining the relationship between the SARS-CoV-2 load in wastewater and COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations before the emergence of Omicron (September 2020 to November 2021) at two treatment plants in Peel.

The team used these pre-Omicron correlations to estimate the incidence of COVID-19 cases amid the Omicron surge (November 2021 to June 2022). They collected wastewater samples from the treatment plants 3 to 5 days a week, for a total of 715 samples.

In December 2021, during the Omicron BA.1 variant surge in Ontario, the province restricted clinical polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing to high-risk people, including hospitalized patients, healthcare workers providing direct patient care, and residents and staff in hospitals and congregate living settings.

Wastewater surveillance indicators become especially relevant when PCR testing eligibility changed.

"Wastewater surveillance indicators become especially relevant when PCR testing eligibility changed or when clinical testing capacity was overwhelmed, resulting in an incomplete picture of local COVID-19 activity," the researchers wrote.

Monitoring provides crucial data beyond testing

The link between wastewater SARS-CoV-2 load and COVID-19 cases was strongest 1 day after sampling, while wastewater load and COVID-19 hospitalizations were most strongly correlated 4 days after sampling.

At the peak wastewater SARS-CoV-2 load of wave 5 on January 11, 2022, 1,160 reported COVID-19 infections were reported, compared with a predicted 7,515 cases, representing a 6.5-fold difference. At the peak of wave 6 on April 21, 2022, the estimated versus reported COVID-19 cases differed 18.7-fold (3,170 vs 170, respectively).

"The monitoring of wastewater in Peel has provided critical information about community transmission of COVID-19 that is independent of clinical testing availability and uptake," the authors wrote.

Trained Immunity: Its Role In COVID-19 And Potential In Preparing For Future Infectious Outbreaks

In a recent review published in Cell Host & Microbe, researchers reported on the contribution of trained immune responses to protection against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections and future pandemics.

Study: The role of trained immunity in COVID-19: Lessons for the next pandemic. Image Credit: Corona Borealis Studio/Shutterstock.Com Background

Trained immunity refers to a long-term enhancement in the cellular responsiveness of the innate immunological system induced by particular vaccines and infections. During the three years of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, vaccines that can induce trained immunological responses have been investigated for their immunological induction capabilities to enhance protection against COVID-19.

About the review

In the present review, researchers reviewed existing data on the potential widening of the therapeutic landscape of COVID-19 by vaccines that induce trained immunological responses.

Trained immune responses generated by non-COVID-19 vaccines

Methods that boost innate immunological responses during the initial days of SARS-CoV-2 infection before activating antigen-targeted B and T lymphocyte responses would improve COVID-19 outcomes by inhibiting SARS-CoV-2 replication and halting disease progression. Studies have reported that specific vaccines, particularly those comprising live but attenuated microorganisms, can confer immune protection against non-target organisms.

Multiple immunological mechanisms regulate the effects, including cross-protective T lymphocyte response induction and a long-term enhancement in innate immune cell functioning. Of note, trained immunity does not depend on the causative antigen and can confer broad and cross-reactive immune protection.

The molecular substrates are denoted by metabolic and epigenetic cellular rewiring, resulting in improved chromatin availability and transcription of genes critical for defense. Vaccines that can induce trained immunological responses include Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG), oral polio vaccine (OPV), measles-mumps-rubella (MMR), and influenza vaccines.

The vaccines produce functional and transcriptional programs of trained immunity. BCG vaccines activate myelopoiesis and functionally enhance myeloid cells, whereas influenza vaccines comprising the ASO3 adjuvant induce more robust interferon (IFN)-mediated responses against SARS-CoV-2. Intravenous BCG vaccinations enhance B and T lymphocyte responses following SARS-CoV-2 exposure and improve serological immune responses to anti-SARS-CoV-2 vaccines.

Studies using K18-human angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (hACE2) mice have reported that BCG vaccines lower viral load, pathological damage to tissues, recruitment of inflammatory cells, and production of pro-inflammatory cytokines. BCG vaccines generated cross-reactive anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies and induced trained immunological responses such as the differentiation of myeloid cells and the activation of glycolytic pathways in the murine animals.

Animal studies indicated that BCG vaccines rapidly induce monocyte and T cell activation against SARS-CoV-2, likely due to direct bone marrow involvement. Epidemiological studies showed that BCG vaccinations during childhood prevent COVID-19 incidence and lower its severity in particular geographic locations such as South America and Africa, and BCG vaccines were more effective among older, immunocompromised individuals than young healthcare workers and following repeated doses than a single dose. BCG vaccines could amplify the immunogenicity of messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA)- and adenovirus-based SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and their durability of protection.

Trained immunity produced by SARS-CoV-2 infections and lessons learned from the pandemic

Immunological defects in COVID-19 vary according to the strength of host defenses. In the case of effective immunological responses in the initial stage of COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2 replication is inhibited, leading to low levels of generalized inflammation and viremia and improved survival. In the case of defective host responses in the initial asymptomatic phase of COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2 multiplies rapidly in the host, resulting in a hyperinflammatory state and a worsened COVID-19 prognosis.

Infections by SARS-CoV-2 induce strong, trained immunological responses, which might contribute to prolonged inflammatory complications of infections by SARS-CoV-2. Indeed, post-COVID-19 syndrome (PCC) patients have demonstrated transcriptional dysregulations in their innate immunological system, with elevated IFN-I and III levels persisting beyond six months of acute COVID-19.

Trained immune responses following SARS-CoV-2 infections comprise increased interleukin-8 (IL-8) and monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1) chemokine levels. Trained immunity-inducing vaccines authorized for use can become efficient tools for bridge vaccinations to mitigate the healthcare burden and economic consequences of pandemics. The trained responses may also enhance the COVID-19 vaccines' effectiveness.

Conclusions

Based on the review findings, experimental animal studies have shown that intravenously administered BCG vaccines can protect against COVID-19 by inducing trained immunological responses. Vaccines that can train the immune system, i.E., Shingrix, MMR, and BCG, can lower COVID-19 severity and associated mortality.

BCG vaccinations also improve humoral and cellular immune responses to various COVID-19 vaccine types, including adenovirus- and mRNA-based ones, and novel SARS-CoV-2 vaccines can confer long-term trained immune protection. However, vaccines that train the immune system cannot lower the total COVID-19 case counts, except for influenza, OPV, and multiple doses of BCG vaccines.

Infections by SARS-CoV-2 can also induce strong trained immunological responses in a few individuals, contributing to inflammatory complications in the long run. The review findings could inform vaccine development to harness the immunological potential of trained immunity and improve global preparedness for future pandemics. However, further research, including large-scale randomized controlled trials, is required for definitive inferences from the review findings.

Is The Development Of A New Tuberculosis Vaccine Possible?

"Since the time people have realised tuberculosis is preventable and since they have learned how to avoid infection, mortality rates caused by tuberculosis have declined in industrialised countries and signs are starting to appear that it can be eliminated. This is the right time to combat tuberculosis." These words were spoken a century ago by the discoverer of the tubercle bacillus, Robert Koch. "I have a very distinguished group of leaders here … who are profoundly interested in joining forces to fight against diseases that kill people and progress in the world's poorest countries. Diseases like AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria…" With these words, United States President, Bill Clinton, opened a vaccine research meeting at the White House on 2 March this year.

Sadly, we are no closer to eliminating or even controlling tuberculosis (TB) today than we were when Koch first identified the causative agent, Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Every minute, more than 10 individuals develop TB, amounting to 8 million new cases annually (Fig. 1). Two to 2.5 million of these TB sufferers will die of the disease. These appalling figures put TB in the unfavourable list of the top major killers, together with AIDS and malaria1. The situation is worsened by the increasing incidence of multidrug resistant (MDR) strains, and the deathly combination of TB with AIDS. Co-infection with HIV and M. Tuberculosis increases the risk of developing TB 30-fold.

Figure 1

TB: the continuous scourge of humankind.

The biggest burden of TB is in Southeast Asia where there are 3 million TB cases per year. Sub-Saharan Africa has nearly 1.6 million cases annually. But what we are seeing is not the re-emergence of a disease that had been controlled well in the past; rather, it is the resurgence in awareness in western countries of a problem that had always existed globally, but which had seemed to be in retreat in the industrialized world. For example, the incidence of TB increased in several parts of the United States in the early 1990s, incidence has risen sharply in several formerly socialist states2, and the number of cases of TB in the UK has risen by 80% in the last 10 years.

Do we really need a new vaccine?

The current vaccine against TB, bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG), was developed by the French scientists Calmette and Guérin in the first decade of the last century. BCG has been delivered for more than 70 years and has been given to more people than any other vaccine (more than 3 billion individuals and around 100 million newborns annually). Its side effects are tolerable, and it can prevent miliary and meningeal TB in young children to an appreciable degree. In striking contrast, BCG fails to protect against the most prevalent disease form, pulmonary TB in adults. In fact, data concerning the protective efficacy of BCG in adults range from 0% in South India to 80% in the UK (ref. 6). Although a meta-analysis of all vaccination data available has yielded a theoretical efficacy rate of 50%, it has been estimated that only 5% of all vaccine-preventable deaths caused by TB could have been prevented by BCG. Thus, BCG is not a satisfactory vaccine.

But do we really need a new vaccine given that TB can be treated by chemotherapy? In this regard, two obstacles exist: first, TB drugs (isoniazid, rifampicin, pyrazinamide, streptomycin and ethambutol are typical of the drugs included in the directly observed treatment, short-course strategy (DOTS) program; see box) (ref. 2) must be taken for long periods of time (usually 6 months or longer); second, a combination of three specific drugs is required to avoid the development of drug resistance. Both obstacles severely affect compliance and with more than 1 billion bacteria in the lung of a patient suffering from active TB, poor compliance can easily lead to the development of resistant strains. Accordingly, TB therapy is expensive, costing from $10 to $1000 and with the incidence of MDR-TB strains on the rise—currently 50 million people are infected with MDR strains of M. Tuberculosis2— the disease can become virtually impossible to cure in poor countries, by reason of its prohibitive costs that can reach $250,000. Thus, there is an urgent need to develop an effective and cheap medical intervention against this disease, namely an efficacious vaccine.

Is a TB vaccine possible at all?

Imagine the following scenario: one of the heroes in the TB field proclaims he has developed a therapeutic vaccine for TB based on his success in curing the disease in experimental animals. Because of the reputation of the scientist, and to proceed as fast as possible, controlled clinical trials comprising almost 2000 TB patients are immediately initiated by a governmental agency and the results already provided after 6 months. Due to great economic interest, the product is licensed to a pharmaceutical company, making the investigator a millionaire. The story is true. It occurred between August 1890 when Robert Koch, the highly respected discoverer of the TB bacillus, proclaimed at the 10th International Congress of Medicine that he had found a remedy for TB, and February 1891 when the official report on the clinical trials was published. Unfortunately, the report was crushing, with only 2% cured. We cannot risk such a fiasco again and it is therefore appropriate to ask whether the task of developing a TB vaccine is too formidable, even today.

Discussion on the feasibility of a TB vaccine normally receives support from the fact that less than 10% of the 2 billion individuals infected with M. Tuberculosis develop active TB. It is generally assumed that active TB occurs because of a weakening of the immune system, which keeps M. Tuberculosis in check as long as it is fully competent. A lot of truth lies in this assumption, which is best supported by the highly increased incidence of TB in AIDS patients. But is it also correct to assume that M. Tuberculosis induces the maximum protection that can be achieved? Almost by definition, it is not the optimum protection because the pathogen is not eradicated. Thus, it is generally believed that individuals with endogenous M. Tuberculosis infection do not become re-infected because of the efficacious immune response induced by the primary infection. With the availability of potent drug treatment and DNA fingerprinting for strain-specific diagnosis, the issue of immunity to re-infection has been re-examined 3. It has now been shown that exogenous re-infection does occur, suggesting that natural immunity is insufficient. Consistent with this, M. Tuberculosis infection in mice followed by chemotherapeutic eradication of the pathogen does not provide full protection against secondary M. Tuberculosis challenge infection.

Figure 2: Looking back: Koch's greatest success and failure.

Upper: Robert Koch, the discoverer of the TB bacillus, in his laboratory. Lower: Treatment of a TB patient with Koch's remedy, a therapeutic vaccine that turned out to be non-efficacious and even harmful.

A conclusion from these findings would be that the immune response fails to control the pathogen in the long run, without necessarily being weakened by exogenous insult, thus allowing reactivation. In this scenario, the host's genetic predisposition and disturbance of the immune response by M. Tuberculosis would explain disease in a substantial proportion of the 10% of infected individuals who develop TB. So vaccinologists are faced with a difficult hurdle—to design a vaccine that is superior to the pathogen with regard to the immune response evoked.

M. Tuberculosis misuses the phagosomal compartment of macrophages as its preferred habitat (Fig. 3) (ref. 7). Accordingly, its antigens have ready access to the antigen processing machinery encoded by the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) class II. This results in the activation of M. Tuberculosis-specific CD4+ T cells of T-helper 1 type (Th1). Mouse experiments have also provided evidence for an additional participation in protective immunity of CD8+ T cells that are restricted by MHC class I. Thus, although CD4+ T cells play a major role in the build-up of an optimal protective immune response against TB, CD8+ T cells are needed as well. In addition to these two major T-cell populations, unconventional T cells, namely γδ T cells and CD1-restricted αβ T cells, apparently participate in optimum protection. In contrast to M. Tuberculosis, BCG fails to adequately stimulate CD8+ T cells, probably because it has lost essential cytolysins. On the other hand, the ligands for γδ T cells and CD1-controlled T cells are present in BCG.

Figure 3: The T-cell populations and antigens in protective immunity against TB.

Compelling evidence suggests that the different T-cell populations shown participate in protective immunity against TB. M. Tuberculosis resides in phagosomes at the late endosome/lysosome stage. From there, its antigens are transported by MHC class II molecules to the cell surface and stimulate CD4+ T cells. Some protein antigens are presented by MHC class I molecules, stimulating CD8+ T cells. Glycolipid antigens are presented by group 1 CD1 molecules (CD1a, b or c) to double negative (DN) or CD8+ T cells. Finally, small metabolites, which contain phosphate (phospholigands), are presented to γδ T cells in the absence of known presentation molecules. All T cell populations have been shown to secrete IFN-γ and to express cytolytic T lymphocyte (CTL) activity to varying degrees.

How do these T cells function in protection? First, there is general agreement that activation of antimicrobial activities in macrophages by Tcell cytokines is involved. Accordingly, interferon (IFN)-γ, which is a major macrophage-activating cytokine, and other Th 1 cytokines are critical. Second, direct killing of mycobacteria by T cells has been demonstrated. Third, mycobacteria reactive T cells lyse infected macrophages. Macrophage lysis appears to be a prerequisite for killing by T cells of microbes residing inside macrophages. Moreover, lysis of infected macrophages could promote release of mycobacteria from incapacitated macrophages to more proficient monocytes.

Although CD4+ T cells are considered as the major source of IFN-γ, other T cell populations have also been shown to produce this and other Th1 cytokines. Similarly, CD8+ T cells are mainly responsible for the killing activities although additional T cell sets, in particular CD1-restricted T cells, can perform these functions. This redundancy should not be misinterpreted as meaning that a single T cell population would suffice for protection. These T cell populations differ in other capacities, including antigen specificity, genetic restriction and activation requirements. Hence, it appears unlikely that any one T cell population could fully compensate for another. Applying this scenario to vaccine development, one can easily envisage two major strategies: The subunit vaccine approach would be satisfied with a few antigens recognized by CD4+ T cells and perhaps CD8+ T cells, whereas a whole bacterial vaccine approach would consider stimulation of as many T cell populations as possible to be more appropriate. Due to the ambiguous complexity of the immune response to TB, a distinct correlate of protection in man has not been determined. Probably a combination of quantitative correlates rather than a single qualitative read-out will be required. This will be essential before any human vaccine trial can be initiated.

As for many infectious diseases, there is no ideal experimental animal model for TB. Although the mouse provides the deepest insights into the immune mechanisms underlying vaccination, it is more resistant to M. Tuberculosis than man and does not fully mirror human pathology, for example, as regards the granulomatous lesion. To further complicate the situation, mouse strains with different susceptibility to TB exist and different strains of M. Tuberculosis express different virulence. The guinea pig is extremely susceptible to M. Tuberculosis and will rapidly die from only one or two virulent organisms, and the pathology in guinea pigs strongly resembles that in man. Although non-human primates are susceptible to TB, these species have only recently been exploited in more depth for TB research, with the cynomolgus monkey, Macaca fasicularis being the most promising model8.

Thus, the mouse and guinea pig provide important and often complementary answers to TB vaccine questions. Because of the wealth of information on its immune mechanisms, the availability of a huge array of gene knockout strains, and because of its relatively low cost, the mouse appears to be very important for rational vaccine development. Before proceeding to human studies, however, protection assays in the guinea pig should show success. A more empirically oriented research approach would of course allow the reciprocal sequence, that is, screening for highly efficacious vaccine candidates in the guinea pig first and subsequent analysis of the underlying immune mechanisms in the mouse. Only the most promising vaccine candidates should then be considered for non-human primate experiments.

In summary, as for many infectious diseases, we don't have an ideal experimental animal model for TB. This is even truer if we think of models for latency and reactivation of TB and, as a corollary, of post-infection or immunotherapeutic vaccines rather than pre-infection vaccination of naïve animals. On a positive note, the TB system benefits from having a gold standard in BCG, which provides a significant degree of protection in all experimental animal models.

The new vaccine candidates

Given that T cells are central to protection against TB, future vaccine design should focus on T-lymphocyte populations. Unfortunately, there is no precedent for this because all successful vaccines in use today work through antibodies rather than T cells. Moreover, most vaccines do not prevent infection but instead disease, that is, they allow establishment of the pathogen in the host but prevent its harmful effects. Finally, vaccines are generally given pre-infection as opposed to post-infection—vaccination is generally preventive rather than therapeutic.

For TB, these issues deserve some reconsideration. With one third of the world population already infected with M. Tuberculosis, and thus living with a time bomb, there is a sufficiently large group to be considered as targets for a post-infection vaccine. Moreover, with the increasing risk of MDR-TB and co-infection with HIV and TB, therapeutic vaccines may warrant specific consideration. A recent publication reported successful therapy of TB in mice by vaccination with a DNA construct encoding hsp60 (ref. 9). Obviously, a vaccine that could prevent infection would be ideal because the host initially encounters minute numbers of M. Tuberculosis organisms. Here, a theoretical niche for antibodies exists. If a vaccine could induce antibodies that eliminate M. Tuberculosis in the alveolar space before they invade macrophages, this would clearly solve all problems. Unfortunately, this scenario remains a dream with a low possibility of being fulfilled. A more likely prospect is vaccine-induced immunity that attacks the pathogen after it has established itself inside macrophages—a task that is the exclusive realm of T lymphocytes.

Table 1 shows current vaccine candidates. The subunit approach relies on the assumption that one or only a few antigens are sufficient to induce a protective immune response. With the recent availability of the M. Tuberculosis genome and increasing information about gene expression from transcriptome and proteome analyses, the race for protective antigens is wide open4,10,11. Whole genome DNA microarray techniques have revealed 129 M. Tuberculosis -specific open reading frames that are absent in the genome of the BCG vaccine strains10. Obviously, the M. Tuberculosis genes absent in BCG represent candidates not only for virulence factors, but also for protective antigens. Screening of the M. Tuberculosis genome has thus initiated a hunt for genes of interest for vaccine development, either as targets for gene knockout or as candidates for protective antigens.

Table 1 TB vaccine candidates

Despite the wealth of information from genomics and proteomics, clear parameters that define protective antigens are not available. Are there M. Tuberculosis-specific antigens that are absent in BCG? Are they secreted or cell-bound antigens? Or are they antigens with unique functions? Perhaps they could be the most abundantly expressed proteins? Or they could be proteins expressed exclusively in vivo and absent in in vitro cultures? Current data do not provide a clear plan of action and we are left with the daunting task of screening each antigen as a vaccine candidate. This is probably best achieved with naked DNA constructs, which are easily made and which have a proven degree of vaccine efficacy. Protective antigens identified thus far include the members of the antigen 85 family and hsp60 (refs. 12,13) and both have afforded a degree of protection in mouse experiments although not exceeding that provided by BCG.

Malaria vaccine researchers have gone a step further and tackled the question of protective antigens with a vaccinomics approach, that is, an expression library immunization independent of the biological features of the candidate antigens14. Once protective antigens have been identified, synthetic polypeptides combining promiscuous protective epitopes from several antigens can be constructed. The success of any protein vaccine will depend not only on the identification of a protective antigen but also on a potent adjuvant that best improves its immunogenicity. Although naked DNA vaccines have appreciable immunogenicity, further improvements would be highly desirable. Recombinant carriers include attenuated salmonella and the vaccinia virus. The former has the advantage that it can be given orally and thus stimulates a mucosal immune response, the latter of being a potent stimulator of CD8+ T cells. Both have proven their feasibility, mostly in other systems.

The whole bacterial vaccine approach follows the notion that several antigens—proteinaceous and non-proteinaceous in nature—act together to achieve maximum protection (Table 1). In addition, whole bacterial vaccines profit from built-in adjuvanticity. The methodologies for establishing deletion mutants in M. Tuberculosis have been refined and the proof of principle has been established, that is, deletion of single genes can cause sufficient attenuation15. Given that M. Tuberculosis impairs the immune response and hence induces insufficient protection, targets for deletion would include not only classical virulence factors but also immunosuppressive components. These include inhibitors of macrophage activation because the best T cell fails if macrophages can't be fully activated. In a similar line, attempts have been made to improve the immunogenicity of BCG either by enhancing its CD8+ T cell stimulating capacity or by endowing it with Th1 cell-inducing cytokines16. BCG can also be engineered to over-express distinct antigens, either because it lacks the encoding gene or because it produces the antigen in insufficient quantity.

The combination-vaccine strategy aims to combine the best of the two approaches. Both BCG and M. Tuberculosis might be improved combining two of the options mentioned above. Alternatively, prime-boost strategies, which have already demonstrated their efficacy in the experimental malaria model, are being applied to TB vaccination17.

All these approaches are at the stage of animal experiments, mostly in the mouse, and none has come up with a spectacular result, that is, markedly exceeding the efficacy of BCG. So, where should we set the threshold of satisfaction for a vaccine? Can we be satisfied with a candidate that affords a degree of protection equal to that of BCG if the new vaccine candidate was made because BCG is considered insufficient? Or should we wait for a candidate that achieves sterilizing immunity both pre- and post-infection, worrying that this goal will never be achieved. It can be argued that a subunit vaccine as efficacious as BCG would have certain advantages such as higher safety, in particular in immunocompromised hosts, as well as providing the possibility to distinguish between vaccinated and infected individuals. In contrast, a whole bacterial vaccine clearly needs to be significantly better than BCG if it is to be exploited further. Whatever the answers to these questions, any new vaccine seriously considered for human trials should prove its superiority to BCG in experimental animal models.

To reduce the burden of TB, the WHO has actively promoted the DOTS strategy2. One-hundred-and-nineteen of the 212 member states of WHO had adopted DOTS by the end of 1998, although coverage varied significantly. Where fully implemented, DOTS has proven its efficacy. WHO is aiming to detect 70% of existing cases of active TB, and to cure 85% of detected cases; yet by the end of 1998, only 21% of all TB cases were under DOTS treatment. DOTS requires daily delivery of drugs by health workers for 6 months and is reliant on a well-organized national TB control program. There are numerous difficulties in implementing DOTS, ranging from technical problems, such as detection difficulties due to antiquated tools and the lack of a single pill combining the drugs, to insufficient motivation and training of health workers, not to mention the difficulties in ensuring patient compliance. Hence, the impact of DOTS on global TB incidences probably will not fulfil expectations completely.

From what has been said, one can easily see why development of a vaccine for TB does not presently appeal to industry. First, proof of principle is still missing, namely the scientific rationale that something better than BCG can be designed. A second disincentive concerns clinical trials—they would easily comprise tens to hundreds of thousands of subjects, and involve protracted periods of time, given that the disease develops years or decades after primary infection. Clearly, this will be a long-term endeavor counted in decades rather than years, starting with experimental research, animal testing and phase I and II human trials, before proceeding to a large-scale long-term phase III field trial18. By the beginning of phase III trials at the latest, there needs to be accord about immunological correlates of protection, and perhaps pathogenesis, in humans. Even in populations with high TB incidences, pre-infection trials can easily exceed a decade. A post-infection vaccine trial in a high-risk population could be shorter, but would still last some years.

Fortunately, several incentives have recently been stipulated by President Clinton's Millenium Vaccine Initiative, such as tax credits for vaccines, ensured future markets in developing countries, low interest loans by the World Bank for health services, and significant increases in funding vaccine-targeted research to attract the private sector. Also the European Commission, the National Institutes of Health, and private foundations (notably the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation), have instigated several mechanisms to support TB-oriented research and clinical trials. Hopefully, the sudden political interest in vaccine development will provide a unique opportunity for the TB research community.

---